COVID-19—a very visible pandemic – The Lancet
During April and May, 2020, Giesecke became somewhat of a celebrity in the UK and elsewhere, giving interviews that promoted these arguments. Giesecke’s letter specifically stated that PCR tests and assumptions had shown that 20–25% of Stockholm was infected already, that serology tests were already supporting this conclusion, and that 98–99% of people infected did not know it. These ideas, espoused by Giesecke and his colleagues at the Public Health Agency of Sweden have sparked protests around the world where many raise signs calling for an approach like Sweden’s and no lock-ins.
although the health authority continues to debate this. This number is, however, consistent with infection rates of about 5% reported across Spain at the time,
and those reported in the news for France and Belgium.
Importantly, despite the low infection rate, the death rates in Sweden are considerably higher than those of its neighbouring countries and approximately 30 countries around the world that enforced lockdown rapidly and now are making use of testing, tracing, isolation, and masks to control the disease. The Swedish experiment has failed, but what is the cost? The death rate is much higher in countries that delayed lockdown. In Brazil and the USA, where people have attempted to follow the Swedish approach to the virus, or where lockdowns were lifted early by governments. It is indeed difficult to calculate, but the increased death toll from following advice from Giesecke and the Public Health Agency of Sweden is going to be substantial around the world. The attempt to reach herd immunity has cost many lives.
I declare no competing interests.
References
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The invisible pandemic.
Lancet. 2020; 395: e98
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Första resultaten från pågående undersökning av antikroppar för COVID-19-virus.
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España, lejos de la inmunidad de grupo con solo dos millones de positivos en coronavirus.
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Folkhälsomyndigheten kan betala Giesecke en miljon.
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Published: 08 August 2020
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